Research program

OptionIncomeTools runs three priority studies on options-income strategies. Each study has a public dataset schema, a live observation count, and a downloadable CSV. We do not publish return claims until enough observations exist to compute a defensible result with documented dispersion and confidence intervals.

Why this matters: options-income content on the open web is dominated by cherry-picked examples and unsupported "I made 20% annualized" claims. We refuse to publish that kind of marketing-disguised-as-research. When we publish findings, every observation will be traceable to a row in a public CSV.

Screen yield vs realized return

Status: Open for collection

Measures the gap between annualized screen yield (the comparison metric we display in the screener) and realized return over a full cycle. Tracks individual contracts from screen-time to exit, with explicit slippage and commission assumptions.

Schema · Download CSV · Live observation count

Early-assignment prediction

Status: Open for collection

Calibrates the early-assignment incentive heuristic against actual assignment events on dividend-paying stocks. Tracks model predictions, false positives, and false negatives across ex-dividend windows.

Schema · Download CSV · Live observation count

Transparent wheel benchmark

Status: Open for collection

Reproducible, versioned wheel-strategy backtest on documented rule sets (delta 0.20/0.25/0.30, DTE 30–45, multiple profit-taking policies) on SPY, QQQ, and a fixed 30-name large-cap universe. Compared against total-return benchmarks.

Schema · Download CSV · Live observation count

Retracted reports

SPY wheel backtest (5-year, 2020–2025)

Status: Withdrawn

Programmatically generated without a supporting dataset. Retracted 2026-06-23. The transparent-wheel-benchmark study above is being built as the proper replacement. See corrections log.

Publication standards

A research report is published on OptionIncomeTools only when it includes all of the following (per the editorial policy):

If a report claims a return number without supporting evidence at this standard, it gets withdrawn and recorded in corrections. The previous SPY wheel backtest is the first example.

See also: References & citations · Corrections log · Editorial policy · Methodology.